Juan Pablo Duch: Post-Soviet Notes

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since the outgoing tenant of the White House, Joe Biden, authorized the use of long-range missiles (up to 300 kilometers) and only in the Russian region of Kursk, Moscow and Washington – which have the largest nuclear arsenals – engaged in an ominous dynamic of threats , knowing that none of their reckless actions can change the course of the war by keeping the strategic balance between them intact.

In reality, it is impossible to know what happens on the battlefields based on the version of just one of the contenders: according to kyiv, for example, missiles Atacms Americans and Storm Shadow and ScalpBritish and French, all hit the mark, what the Russians deny; According to Moscow, its new hypersonic ballistic missile is impossible to intercept, while the Americans assure that it is a modification of obsolete versions in the experimental phase, very far from being able to be manufactured in series, which did not cause, if the satellite images of before and after the attack, no damage to the Dnipro city military industry concern.

But assuming everyone is telling the truth – that long-range Western missiles are a headache for Moscow and the Oreshnik ( Hazel) makes London, Paris and other European capitals tremble – it is obvious that neither Washington is willing to give kyiv all of its rockets of this type, much less better weapons, just as the Kremlin lacks hundreds of missiles of this type. new generation and has others with similar characteristics capable of reaching any European country with nuclear warheads such as the Iskander-Mhe Kinzhal and the Kalibrnot to mention missiles from more than 6 thousand kilometers away.

Both, forgive the boxing analogy, star in a kind of round of shadows to show their muscles waiting for a new boxer, Donald Trump, to enter the ring. The bad thing is that, by provoking the opponent so much with low blows and responding by showing off his nuclear arsenal, an atomic conflagration could be unleashed, by mistake or by suicidal outburst, that will have no winner.

Will there be a Third World War? If common sense prevails, it is not likely, but as long as you continue to test the patience of others, it is possible.